Hoosiergasket – We develop betting tools  

One of the oldest NBA total betting systems around is simply to bet the under in the game with the lowest posted total on the board, provided there are a minimum of four games being played.

For example, if the following games are being played on any given night:

Miami 185
Indiana -4.5

Oklahoma City 198
Utah – 12

New Jersey -2
Golden State 192.5

Seattle 197.5
Portland -3

Dallas -5
L.A. Clippers 199

The bet would be to wager on under in the Miami vs. Indiana game, as the over/under of 185 is lower than any of the other posted totals.

Some bettors will double up after losses and try to show a profit any time the system wins, although that philosophy is always risky. Instead of doubling up, a bettor would probably be best served by waiting until the system has several losing days in a row and then get involved.

The method makes sense from a logical perspective, since most bettors prefer to bet overs, as it’s typically more enjoyable to root for scoring, bettors are less likely to bet under such a low total. Any time a sports bettor can place a wager against the public, they will generally have the advantage over the long run.

Barcelona fell behind and were hampered a bit by Levante, as predicted, but found their pace soon enough and blew their visitors away with a 5-1 thrashing despite going behind early. I suspect they will hammer Valencia too.

You would normally bet on Barca to score a bundle and this is a great spot with a lot of reason to do so. They are home, improving with Messi getting back into the side, and are facing a Valencia side that has been conceding a fair few goals this season. No fewer than 6 different sides have scored at least 3 in a game against them, so no reason to think Barca will be quietened at home.

The home win is a guarantee, with Barca winning the last 6 home meetings with Valencia. They are coming off a 4-1 and 5-1 win over Levante, either side of a 3-0 beating of Malaga. Goals should definitely come in this one. Valencia, let’s not forget, are still getting used to their new manager, and while they have drawn their last 2, they have yet to win under the new man. Atletico Madrid, fighting for the title, beat them recently, to nil.

Barca could do better than that 2-0 result. They certainly will not back off when ahead, as they will want to improve the goal difference which is proving like it might be important. Messi has not scored since his return, but this is a side he loves scoring against. He has already scored a hat trick against them, the 8th time he has done that against Valencia!! Perhaps a bet on him to score at least 2 may be profitable.

I’m going to stick my neck out a bit on this one. I was thinking about -2 on the AH, but with Barca scoring so many goals in their last 3 games, perhaps we can expect a 3-0 or a 4-1 result. Take Barcelona to win this by at least 3 goals.