Hoosiergasket – We develop betting tools  

A few days ago I wrote about a new betting system I test these days and which is connected with football matches between a stronger and a much weaker opponents. When on the half time in a such match the result is not in the favor of the favorite, I bet for Over the number of corners. All the needed details about why and how I bet with this betting system you can see in my previous post.

Now I continue with my conclusions connected with that betting system. What is perhaps the most important I found is that when on the half time the favorite in the match fails to lead at the end they are not the winners in nearly 80% of matches. It is more than interesting and certainly deserves future attention.

Usually when in such match the result on the halftime is even, the coefficient for the favorite rarely rise to more than 1.8, which gives a fairly good rate of around 2 for a draw or ultimate success for the underdog in the match.

That’s why I believe this football trend definitely deserves to be checked and I am going to do it in the next few days.

If I have to say few words about my initial idea about the corners, it can be said that after the first few matches this betting system is going around the even – I have won as much money as I stake, which is not so bad, but it is not what I hoped for.

It is important again to make the point that this betting system suggests lots of time on-line as there are around ten such matches daily, each at different times. Each match should be checked for the result at the half time and then if the search result is occurred a bet must be made.

That’s why, for now I continue to bet on the same way with the idea, firstly the system to become profitable and on the second place to collect additional information that I can use for my betting systems in the future.

El Clasico at Estadio Mestalla in Valencia will electrify football fans all over the world again. So far Barcelona has won Copa del Rey 26 times, Real Madrid has won 18 times.

In the last league match at the Santiago Bernabeu both teams has offered their fans a fantastic spectacle topped with seven goals. Will the scenario repeat itself? Bookmakers think that both teams have equal chance of winning (odds for Barcelona at 2,60, odds for draw 3,40, and odds for Real Madrid 2,60). Its hard not to agree with it, one match, two teams of the same level, still advantages for a particular team may be found. In my opinion one advantage is definitely referee Mateu Lahoz who is a good specialist and prefers tough matches. It can be a plus for Real Madrid. On the other hand there is Blaugrana which has won both league matches this year (2:1 and 3:4).
It is hards to write about injuries a week before a game, one suer thing is that Gerard Pique will be ready o play after an injury from a match against Atletico Madrid in Champions League.
I will not risk betting on win of one of the teams. According to he bookmakers the chances are equal. In my opinion the form of players will be crucial for the final success.

Direct matches statistics show that both teams feel best in attack. Average from the last 13 direct matches is 3.84 goals/match. Bookmakers for over 3 offer the odds of 2,00, for over 2.5 odds of 1,60. Although it is a final match and teams will be focused more on defence than attack I will play for over. Both teams are very strong so a high score would not surprising.

Direct matches:

• Real : Barcelona 3:4
• Barcelona : Real 2:1
• Real : Barcelona 2:1
• Barcelona : Real 1:3
• Real : Barcelona 1:1
• Barcelona : Real 2:2
• Real : Barcelona 2:1
• Barcelona : Real 3:2
• Barcelona : Real 1:2
• Barcelona : Real 2:2
• Real : Barcelona 1:2
• Real : Barcelona 1:3
• Barcelona : Real 3:2

A few weeks ago I started to bet on a more unusual strategy that at first glance looked promising. The main in this system is to select football matches, where one of the two teams is a huge favorite for a victory (in my case, I choose matches that have lower than 1.4 odds for the favorite in the match). When the result is not in favor of the favorite on the halftime, I bet live for more corners than the rate offered by the bookmakers.

The idea is simple and is connected with the fact that the favorite in the match will keep trying to score a goal thus they will play more and more closer to the goal line of their opponents and hence to create more corners.

What are my first impressions from this betting system?

Firstly, it should be noted that many people use this method of betting, as on the halftime almost always the odds for under of corners are reduced by the bookmakers. This can be seen with bookies like bet365, William Hill and Bet at home. Obviously, this way of betting is popular, although it is most likely used in different ways by the various players.

Another thing that impressed me is that it is relatively difficult to playing this system since there are several matches of this type daily and during the weekend they are around 15 (this is because the bookies or at least William Hill, bet365 and Bet at home offers the opportunity for live betting on the number of corners only for the major championships), which means that the punter must be on-line all day. At least I missed dozens of matches that are appropriate for that kind of betting because I found it impossible to be at the computer at the time of the match.

The third and perhaps the most important conclusion that I found after the first series of bets I will tell you that in the next post.